New York City vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NYC
6 - 0
RSL
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
NYC
1 - 1
SES
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
SES
3 - 1
NYC
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
NYC
26%
25%
50%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
NYC
0 - 2
PHU
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
PHU
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
RSL
2 - 2
TOR
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
NYC
26%
25%
50%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
DCU
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
COC
2 - 1
TOR
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |