New York City vs San Jose Earthquakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
NYC
0 - 1
MIN
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
PHU
3 - 1
NYC
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 3
NYC
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
NYC
3 - 0
IMI
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 2
NYC
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SES
2 - 2
SJE
58%
22%
19%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SJE
2 - 0
MIN
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SJE
2 - 3
GAL
35%
25%
41%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SJE
1 - 1
DAL
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
COR
2 - 1
SJE
51%
24%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |