New York City vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
NYC
5 - 0
ORL
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
NYC
1 - 0
MON
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
COC
2 - 1
NYC
39%
26%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
NYC
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
NYC
2 - 1
DCU
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
COC
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
COC
0 - 0
NSC
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
COC
2 - 1
NYC
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CIN
2 - 2
COC
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
COC
2 - 2
NER
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |