New York City vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
DCU
0 - 2
NYC
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MIN
3 - 3
NYC
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NYC
0 - 0
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
4 - 0
NYC
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NYC
2 - 2
LAN
37%
23%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CFS
4 - 1
COR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CFS
1 - 1
VAN
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 2
CFS
57%
22%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CFS
1 - 0
RBN
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CFS
2 - 4
SES
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |