New Star vs Lion Blessé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FOV
1 - 1
NEW
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 1
LES
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
UMS
2 - 1
NEW
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAN
54%
24%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
COS
0 - 1
NEW
41%
30%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lion Blessé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PAN
2 - 1
LIO
41%
31%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
LIO
0 - 1
UNI
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
COT
2 - 1
LIO
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
LIO
0 - 1
BAM
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
LES
1 - 0
LIO
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |