New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
NMU
1 - 1
OKC
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
NMU
12%
18%
70%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 3
NMU
36%
26%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
COL
1 - 3
NMU
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
ARI
2 - 2
NMU
34%
22%
44%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
SAC
2 - 1
USA
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 0
FFC
36%
24%
41%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
EPL
3 - 1
SAC
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 0
REN
32%
22%
46%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 4
REN
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |