New Mexico United vs Rio Grande Valley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NMU
1 - 2
COL
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MON
0 - 2
NMU
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
EPL
3 - 2
NMU
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
COL
1 - 1
NMU
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
NMU
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Grande Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
USA
3 - 2
RGV
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
TUL
2 - 1
RGV
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
RGV
1 - 3
USA
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
RGV
2 - 3
AUB
33%
25%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
OKC
0 - 0
RGV
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |