New England Revolution vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
NER
2 - 1
CFS
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
RBN
1 - 1
NER
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SES
3 - 3
NER
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
NER
0 - 2
LAN
32%
23%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NER
4 - 1
ORL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 1
MON
51%
23%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
COC
2 - 2
TOR
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 0
OTT
86%
11%
4%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 1
ORL
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
OTT
0 - 2
TOR
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |