New England Revolution vs New York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NER
2 - 0
COR
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
RBN
1 - 0
NER
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
SJE
0 - 0
NER
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NER
0 - 2
COC
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
NER
0 - 4
PHU
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
3 - 2
DCU
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
ORL
2 - 1
NYC
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NYC
1 - 0
GAL
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
COC
3 - 3
NYC
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SJE
0 - 0
NYC
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |