New England Revolution vs Chivas USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NER
1 - 1
POR
41%
26%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
RBN
2 - 1
NER
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
NER
3 - 0
COR
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
NER
1 - 2
COC
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 0
NER
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
VAN
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 3
ACM
19%
24%
58%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
DAL
23%
25%
53%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
BYM
3%
10%
87%
|
63 | 99 | 36 | 0 |