Nevezis vs Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
15º
8º
18
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 37 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 34 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 30 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 29 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 27 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 25 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 20 |
7º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 17 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 17 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 16 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 15 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 15 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 14 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 14 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 12 |
16º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
NEV
3 - 1
BFA
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 1
NEV
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
NEV
2 - 4
SIA
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 3
NEV
24%
25%
52%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 1
FHL
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 2
FKT
26%
22%
52%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
NEP
2 - 0
ZAL
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 2
BAB
20%
22%
59%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 1
ZAL
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
ZAL
5 - 3
FKK
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |