Oberliga Bayern Nord. Jor. 24

ASV Neumarkt vs Eltersdorf analysis

ASV Neumarkt Eltersdorf
39 ELO 42
1.2% Tilt 7%
7197º General ELO ranking 5524º
282º Country ELO ranking 189º
ELO win probability
32.8%
ASV Neumarkt
24.3%
Draw
42.8%
Eltersdorf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
ASV Neumarkt
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.8%
Win probability
Eltersdorf
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ASV Neumarkt
-5%
-22%
Eltersdorf

Points and table prediction

ASV Neumarkt
Their league position
Eltersdorf
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
14º
12º
67
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hankofen-Hailing
71
71
100%
VfB Eichstätt
68
68
100%
Eltersdorf
67
67
100%
TSV Abtswind
59
59
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
55
58
90.5%
Bayern Hof
58
58
90.5%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Ammerthal
54
54
0%
Neudrossenfeld
54
54
0%
DJK Gebenbach
10º
52
52
10º
0%
Jahn Regensburg II
11º
52
52
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
52
52
12º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
13º
52
52
13º
0%
TSV Kornburg
14º
49
49
14º
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
15º
48
48
15º
100%
FC Coburg
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Würzburger FV
17º
27
27
17º
100%
SV Donaustauf
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Feucht SC
19º
16
16
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
ASV Neumarkt
Eltersdorf
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ASV Neumarkt
Eltersdorf
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ASV Neumarkt
ASV Neumarkt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
SVD
SV Donaustauf
0 - 5
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
16%
19%
66%
37 23 14 0
13 Apr. 2024
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
4 - 0
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
38%
23%
39%
35 38 3 +2
06 Apr. 2024
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
0 - 0
TSV Abtswind
TSV
35%
26%
39%
34 39 5 +1
30 Mar. 2024
FCC
FC Coburg
1 - 7
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
27%
21%
52%
33 23 10 +1
27 Mar. 2024
WUR
Würzburger FV
1 - 2
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
30%
22%
48%
32 25 7 +1

Matches

Eltersdorf
Eltersdorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
WUR
Würzburger FV
0 - 3
Eltersdorf
ELT
17%
19%
64%
42 28 14 0
12 Apr. 2024
ELT
Eltersdorf
2 - 0
Hankofen-Hailing
HAH
36%
26%
38%
39 41 2 +3
06 Apr. 2024
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
3 - 0
Eltersdorf
ELT
25%
23%
52%
42 33 9 -3
30 Mar. 2024
ELT
Eltersdorf
2 - 1
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
51%
24%
25%
41 36 5 +1
23 Mar. 2024
EIC
VfB Eichstätt
1 - 2
Eltersdorf
ELT
50%
23%
27%
39 42 3 +2
X