Neuchâtel Xamax vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SIO
0 - 0
NEX
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FCV
1 - 0
NEX
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NEX
2 - 0
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CON
4 - 0
NEX
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GCZ
1 - 0
NEX
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
FCL
5 - 1
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
LAC
0 - 4
FCL
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
FCL
0 - 3
GCZ
25%
26%
50%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
YOB
6 - 1
FCL
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
FCL
3 - 0
FCA
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |