Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
NEX
1 - 1
ZUR
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
LAU
0 - 2
NEX
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCL
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
SER
2 - 4
NEX
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
NEX
2 - 0
DEL
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 2
DEL
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
FCA
0 - 2
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
STG
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LUG
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 5
GCZ
25%
26%
50%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |