Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
FCV
2 - 0
NEX
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
KRI
0 - 5
NEX
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
NEX
4 - 1
THU
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 1
NEX
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
NEX
0 - 0
WIN
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 2
KRI
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
THU
2 - 1
FCA
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 3
WIN
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 4
FCA
23%
23%
54%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
45%
22%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |