Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
NEX
3 - 0
WAN
89%
9%
3%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
MOU
2 - 2
NEX
12%
20%
69%
|
69 | 25 | 44 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ALL
2 - 5
NEX
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 24 | 45 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
NEX
11%
20%
69%
|
69 | 26 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
NEX
3 - 2
BAS
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 27 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FCA
0 - 4
YOB
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
THU
2 - 2
FCA
52%
23%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GCZ
4 - 2
FCA
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |