Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
NEX
1 - 1
SER
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
SER
4 - 1
NEX
32%
27%
42%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
FCA
3 - 2
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
NEX
2 - 0
SIO
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
FCL
0 - 1
NEX
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
FCA
1 - 0
SIO
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
FCA
3 - 2
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
SER
1 - 1
FCA
42%
28%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 3
FCA
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |