Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
STG
2 - 1
NEX
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
NEX
0 - 3
SER
52%
24%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
LUG
3 - 1
NEX
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
NEX
3 - 0
ZUR
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
FCL
1 - 1
NEX
38%
29%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
FCA
1 - 3
ZUR
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
FCA
1 - 2
STG
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
SER
2 - 2
FCA
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
FCA
0 - 0
LUG
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
FCW
2 - 2
FCA
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |