Swiss Super League Championship round Round 12

Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax Aarau
81 ELO 75
12.6% Tilt 12%
1640º General ELO ranking 734º
21º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
68%
Neuchâtel Xamax
18.8%
Draw
13.2%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.2%
Win probability
Aarau
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 1988
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
41%
26%
33%
81 77 4 0
03 May. 1988
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 4
Servette
SER
64%
20%
17%
81 77 4 0
30 Apr. 1988
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
33%
26%
41%
81 73 8 0
23 Apr. 1988
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
6 - 1
Lausanne Sports
LAU
76%
15%
10%
81 70 11 0
16 Apr. 1988
STG
St. Gallen
2 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
27%
26%
47%
82 71 11 -1

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 1988
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
64%
20%
16%
75 70 5 0
03 May. 1988
FCA
Aarau
3 - 1
Luzern
FCL
58%
22%
20%
74 74 0 +1
30 Apr. 1988
LAU
Lausanne Sports
0 - 0
Aarau
FCA
57%
23%
21%
74 69 5 0
23 Apr. 1988
FCA
Aarau
3 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
60%
22%
18%
73 71 2 +1
16 Apr. 1988
FCA
Aarau
2 - 2
Grasshopper
GCZ
47%
25%
28%
73 77 4 0