Swiss Super League Round 28

Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax Aarau
83 ELO 75
0.7% Tilt 8.3%
1670º General ELO ranking 761º
21º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
71.5%
Neuchâtel Xamax
16%
Draw
12.5%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.5%
Win probability
Aarau
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
-12%
+13%
Aarau

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 1983
BEL
AC Bellinzona
1 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
19%
25%
56%
83 64 19 0
28 May. 1983
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
4 - 1
Bulle
BUL
76%
16%
8%
83 56 27 0
19 May. 1983
WIN
Winterthur
2 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
17%
25%
59%
83 61 22 0
07 May. 1983
BAS
Basel
0 - 4
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
55%
22%
23%
83 81 2 0
30 Apr. 1983
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 2
Sion
SIO
67%
20%
14%
83 74 9 0

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 1983
FCA
Aarau
3 - 0
Winterthur
WIN
71%
18%
12%
75 61 14 0
28 May. 1983
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 2
Aarau
FCA
80%
12%
8%
75 85 10 0
19 May. 1983
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
Lausanne Sports
LAU
57%
23%
20%
74 73 1 +1
07 May. 1983
FCL
Luzern
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
55%
23%
22%
75 70 5 -1
30 Apr. 1983
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
Young Boys
YOB
44%
26%
30%
74 80 6 +1