Neuchâtel Xamax vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
10º
10º
37
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
THU
2 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 2
THU
17%
19%
65%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCV
15%
20%
66%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STA
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 1
NEX
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 3
SCH
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCL
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
5 - 1
BEL
36%
25%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
TAV
0 - 5
BEL
6%
14%
80%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
YVE
0 - 1
BEL
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |