Neuchâtel Xamax II vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
12º
8º
39
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WOH
2 - 1
NEX
65%
17%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NEX
6 - 0
FCM
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NEX
3 - 2
EMM
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
NEX
71%
15%
15%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NEX
0 - 4
BLA
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
THU
2 - 2
MUN
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 1
THU
46%
22%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DEL
2 - 0
THU
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
THU
0 - 1
FCK
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
THU
0 - 1
SCH
47%
22%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |