Nesebar vs Zagorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
ROZ
2 - 1
NES
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
NES
5 - 1
MIN
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LEV
1 - 1
NES
16%
22%
62%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NES
1 - 2
POM
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 2
NES
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Zagorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
ZAG
3 - 0
SPA
61%
23%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ZAG
0 - 1
DIM
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ZAG
5 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ZAG
4 - 0
SLI
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ASE
0 - 2
ZAG
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |