Nesebar vs Rozova dolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TUN
2 - 1
NES
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NES
1 - 0
GIG
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VER
2 - 1
NES
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NES
4 - 0
ARK
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LEV
1 - 1
NES
20%
25%
56%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Rozova dolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ROZ
4 - 0
BRE
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 0
ROZ
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ROZ
0 - 0
FKH
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BGA
4 - 0
ROZ
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ROZ
1 - 0
ASE
22%
22%
56%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +3 |