Nesebar vs Dorostol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
NES
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
NES
2 - 0
DOR
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DOB
0 - 1
NES
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SVE
1 - 2
NES
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NES
3 - 1
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 0
LUD
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
NES
2 - 0
DOR
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 0
LUD
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 1
DOR
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 0
DOB
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |