Nesebar vs Botev Galabovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ARK
5 - 1
NES
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NES
1 - 1
POM
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FCT
3 - 1
NES
82%
13%
6%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
NES
3 - 1
DOB
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
LUD
4 - 1
NES
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Botev Galabovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BGA
3 - 3
OFK
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LOV
2 - 0
BGA
66%
20%
13%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BGA
0 - 0
STR
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
KAR
3 - 0
BGA
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CSK
0 - 0
BGA
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |