Nerva CF vs C.D. Zarza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDR
4 - 1
NER
35%
24%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDH
0 - 2
NER
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 3
NER
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NER
4 - 3
CDC
15%
21%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDE
4 - 1
NER
79%
14%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDZ
2 - 1
CDH
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CDZ
4 - 0
ARO
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CDC
2 - 1
CDZ
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CDZ
3 - 2
CDE
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
CDZ
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |