Neretvanac vs Hrvatski Vitez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
57.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
10º
16º
11º
45
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretvanac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPL
0 - 1
NER
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NER
4 - 0
PRB
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NER
0 - 0
HNK
13%
18%
70%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NER
1 - 1
NKG
16%
18%
66%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ZAG
3 - 2
NER
82%
11%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Hrvatski Vitez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NKH
2 - 1
HNK
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NKG
1 - 4
NKH
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NKH
0 - 0
ZAG
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NKH
1 - 1
VOD
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GOS
2 - 0
NKH
28%
23%
50%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |