Neretvanac vs Kaštel Gomilica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
65.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
10º
16º
11º
42
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretvanac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ZAG
3 - 2
NER
82%
11%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NER
0 - 2
VOD
27%
22%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GOS
2 - 1
NER
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NER
2 - 0
UBV
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USK
1 - 0
NER
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kaštel Gomilica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NKG
3 - 0
HNK
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NKG
1 - 0
PRB
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZAG
3 - 1
NKG
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NKG
2 - 0
VOD
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GOS
2 - 0
NKG
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |