Nereto vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
77.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nereto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
NER
80%
14%
7%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
NER
1 - 3
VAS
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
FAN
5 - 1
NER
80%
14%
6%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
CAS
9%
16%
75%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
POR
3 - 1
NER
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 0
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 2
ASD
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 2
SFF
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AAC
2 - 4
ASD
8%
16%
77%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 0
REC
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |