Nepal Police vs Morang XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
APF
3 - 0
POL
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
POL
1 - 4
FAR
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JHA
2 - 0
POL
53%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
LUM
1 - 4
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
POL
2 - 2
STA
47%
23%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Morang XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARM
7 - 0
MOR
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 4
APF
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 4
STA
49%
23%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
LUM
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 5
FAR
46%
23%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |