NPFL. Matchday 29

Nembe City FC vs Crown analysis

Nembe City FC Crown
48 ELO 48
-36% Tilt -93%
19359º General ELO ranking 20394º
29º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
55.8%
Nembe City FC
41.2%
Draw
3%
Crown

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
Nembe City FC
0.88
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
0.3%
+2
15.2%
1-0
33.9%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
<0%
+1
35%
41.2%
Draw
0-0
38.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
<0%
0
41.2%
3%
Win probability
Crown
0.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.1%
-2
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nembe City FC
-56%
-37%
Crown

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kano Pillars
65
65
100%
Enyimba
64
64
100%
Warri Wolves FC
61
61
50%
Nasarawa United
61
61
50%
Giwa
59
59
50%
Lobi Stars
59
59
50%
Abia Warriors
58
58
50%
Enugu Rangers
58
58
50%
Dolphin Port Harcourt
55
55
50%
Heartland Owerri
10º
55
55
10º
50%
Sunshine Stars
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Taraba
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Sharks
13º
52
52
13º
100%
El Kanemi Warriors
14º
51
51
14º
33%
Bayelsa United
15º
51
51
15º
33%
Akwa United
16º
51
51
16º
33%
Gombe United
17º
50
50
17º
100%
Crown
18º
39
39
18º
100%
Kaduna United FC
19º
38
38
19º
100%
Nembe City FC
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nembe City FC
Crown
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Nembe City FC
NEM
Crown
CRO
Giwa
GIW
Enyimba
ENY
Lobi Stars
LOB
Sharks
SHA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nembe City FC
Nembe City FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO NEM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2014
HEA
Heartland Owerri
2 - 0
Nembe City FC
NEM
47%
27%
26%
352 493 141 -3
21 Sep. 2014
NEM
Nembe City FC
0 - 3
Lobi Stars
LOB
47%
27%
26%
355 332 23 -4
17 Sep. 2014
BAY
Bayelsa United
3 - 1
Nembe City FC
NEM
47%
27%
26%
358 391 33 -3
24 Aug. 2014
NEM
Nembe City FC
0 - 0
Akwa United
AKW
47%
27%
26%
358 341 17 0
17 Aug. 2014
TAR
Taraba
1 - 1
Nembe City FC
NEM
47%
27%
26%
358 392 34 0

Matches

Crown
Crown
1%
X%
2%
ELO CRO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2014
CRO
Crown
1 - 0
El Kanemi Warriors
ELK
46%
27%
28%
347 407 -60 +2
21 Sep. 2014
KAD
Kaduna United FC
5 - 0
Crown
CRO
46%
27%
27%
351 314 -37 -4
17 Sep. 2014
CRO
Crown
3 - 0
Nasarawa United
NAS
45%
27%
28%
348 355 -7 +3
23 Aug. 2014
GOM
Gombe United
2 - 0
Crown
CRO
46%
27%
27%
351 327 -24 -3
17 Aug. 2014
CRO
Crown
1 - 0
Sharks
SHA
46%
27%
27%
349 362 -13 +2