Nelson Suburbs vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
14%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NSF
5 - 2
HAL
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COA
3 - 2
NSF
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
NSF
4 - 2
CHR
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SUF
2 - 2
NSF
5%
11%
85%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NSF
5 - 0
NOM
60%
19%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NOM
0 - 1
FER
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
CHR
5 - 0
NOM
46%
22%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NOM
2 - 2
CAS
8%
16%
77%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NOM
4 - 0
WAF
93%
6%
2%
|
24 | 5 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
NOM
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |