Nelson Suburbs vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
CHR
2 - 1
NSF
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
NSF
11 - 1
FER
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
NSF
7 - 0
TAH
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
NSF
6 - 0
FCN
7%
13%
81%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NSF
0 - 2
BIR
12%
17%
71%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
NSF
11 - 1
FER
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
FCT
0 - 4
FER
12%
16%
72%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
HAL
1 - 2
FER
14%
17%
68%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
FER
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
FER
0 - 0
NOM
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |