Nelson Suburbs vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.8%
5-0
8%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.3%
2.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+135%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
4º
4º
1
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
6 - 2
DUN
54%
20%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
1 - 2
FCN
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 61 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CHR
4 - 0
NSF
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FER
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NSF
5 - 0
RAA
72%
16%
13%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
4 - 0
FCT
62%
18%
20%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 7
COA
8%
13%
80%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 6
UOC
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COA
3 - 0
FCT
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |