Nelson Suburbs vs Christchurch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SUF
2 - 2
NSF
5%
11%
85%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NSF
5 - 0
NOM
60%
19%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NSF
3 - 1
WAF
93%
6%
2%
|
30 | 6 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
NSF
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NSF
1 - 2
CAS
11%
18%
71%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
COA
2 - 1
CHR
63%
19%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
CHR
91%
7%
2%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CHR
3 - 1
SUF
90%
8%
3%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NOM
0 - 1
CHR
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
WAF
1 - 6
CHR
6%
12%
82%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | +2 |