Nelson Suburbs vs Christchurch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CHR
0 - 0
NSF
41%
22%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
NSF
6 - 0
SUF
92%
6%
2%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
NOM
3 - 2
NSF
20%
19%
60%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
SUF
1 - 4
NSF
6%
11%
83%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
WAF
0 - 9
NSF
5%
12%
83%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CHR
0 - 0
NSF
41%
22%
38%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
CHR
1 - 4
COA
53%
21%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
CHR
0 - 4
CAS
13%
20%
67%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -3 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
CHR
1 - 1
COA
59%
20%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
SUF
0 - 1
CHR
7%
13%
81%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | -1 |