Nelson Suburbs vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
1.1%
7-4
0.3%
8-5
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
2.2%
6-4
0.7%
7-5
0.1%
8-6
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
3.6%
5-4
1.3%
6-5
0.3%
7-6
0.1%
+1
17.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
4.7%
4-4
2.2%
5-5
0.6%
6-6
0.1%
7-7
<0%
0
17%
31.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
2.9%
4-5
1.1%
5-6
0.3%
6-7
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
1.4%
4-6
0.4%
5-7
0.1%
6-8
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.6%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%