Nelson Suburbs vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
COA
4 - 2
NSF
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
CAS
7 - 0
NSF
88%
9%
4%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
NSF
1 - 1
COA
58%
19%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
NSF
2 - 0
CHR
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CHR
0 - 0
NSF
41%
22%
38%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
NOM
91%
7%
2%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
CAS
7 - 0
NSF
88%
9%
4%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CAS
4 - 1
NOM
90%
7%
2%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
COA
89%
8%
3%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
COA
0 - 1
CAS
11%
18%
71%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |