Nelas vs Ferreira de Aves analysis


9	ELO	15
-0.9%	Tilt	1.6%
25065º	General ELO ranking	25061º
639º	Country ELO ranking	635º
ELO win probability

17.4%

Nelas

20.4%

Draw

62.2%

Ferreira de Aves

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

17.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%

20.4%

Draw

0-0

4.5%

1-1

9.5%

2-2

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

20.4%

62.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%