Needham Market vs Cheshunt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SOH
2 - 2
NEE
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
NEE
4 - 1
MAL
73%
16%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
RED
3 - 2
NEE
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
YEL
1 - 0
NEE
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
NEE
3 - 4
HEY
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cheshunt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 4
YEL
19%
22%
60%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
THA
1 - 2
CHE
75%
16%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 1
GRA
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 0
CHE
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 2
LEI
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |