Needham Market vs Bury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NEE
3 - 2
YEL
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PET
0 - 0
NEE
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
BAN
4 - 2
NEE
49%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ALV
1 - 2
NEE
21%
23%
57%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
NEE
1 - 0
LOW
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BUR
2 - 2
HUL
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
BUR
2 - 1
GRA
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BUR
0 - 3
GRE
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 2
MAL
10%
17%
73%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 2
BUR
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |