Necaxa vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
25.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
TIJ
4 - 3
NEC
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 1
NEC
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 2
TIJ
23%
25%
53%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
3 - 0
AUR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
JUA
1 - 3
NEC
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAÑ
89%
8%
3%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
ZAC
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
TOL
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LOB
2 - 1
CAÑ
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
TIJ
23%
23%
55%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |