Necaxa vs Atl. San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
NEC
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
NEC
27%
30%
43%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 0
LOB
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 2
CHI
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 3
NEC
32%
29%
40%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 0
CAÑ
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
QRO
2 - 0
AUR
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 0
AUR
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 2
CAF
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 1
QRO
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |