Necaxa vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 4
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 1
NEC
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
4 - 1
LEO
18%
21%
61%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
JUA
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
5 - 0
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 0
JAG
34%
24%
43%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 1
ZAC
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 3
VER
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 2
ALE
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
ALE
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |