Necaxa vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PAC
0 - 0
NEC
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 1
JAG
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ATL
3 - 1
NEC
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
NEC
2 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SNL
0 - 2
NEC
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 1
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 0
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 2
TIG
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
QRO
2 - 2
MOR
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 1
IRA
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |