Liga MX Clausura . Jor. 9

Necaxa vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis

Necaxa Chivas Guadalajara
71 ELO 79
1.2% Tilt -7.6%
954º General ELO ranking 355º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.9%
Necaxa
28.2%
Draw
41.9%
Chivas Guadalajara

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
Necaxa
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
41.9%
Win probability
Chivas Guadalajara
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Necaxa
+5%
+12%
Chivas Guadalajara

Points and table prediction

Necaxa
Their league position
Chivas Guadalajara
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
31
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
América
35
35
100%
Cruz Azul
33
33
100%
Toluca
32
32
0%
Monterrey
32
32
0%
Tigres UANL
31
31
0%
Chivas Guadalajara
31
31
0%
Pachuca
29
29
100%
Pumas UNAM
27
27
100%
Necaxa
27
27
100%
Querétaro
10º
24
24
10º
0%
León
11º
24
24
11º
0%
FC Juárez
12º
16
16
12º
0%
Mazatlán
14º
16
16
13º
100%
Atl. San Luis
13º
16
16
14º
0%
Santos Laguna
15º
15
15
15º
100%
Tijuana
16º
14
14
16º
100%
Atlas Guadalajara
17º
14
14
17º
100%
Puebla
18º
5
5
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Necaxa
Chivas Guadalajara
Final Series
0% 100%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Necaxa
Chivas Guadalajara
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Necaxa
Necaxa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
QRO
Querétaro
1 - 1
Necaxa
NEC
44%
27%
29%
70 68 2 0
11 Feb. 2024
NEC
Necaxa
3 - 3
Toluca
TOL
22%
25%
53%
69 80 11 +1
04 Feb. 2024
JUA
FC Juárez
2 - 2
Necaxa
NEC
36%
28%
36%
69 64 5 0
01 Feb. 2024
PUM
Pumas UNAM
2 - 2
Necaxa
NEC
60%
23%
17%
69 76 7 0
28 Jan. 2024
NEC
Necaxa
0 - 0
América
AME
19%
24%
57%
69 83 14 0

Matches

Chivas Guadalajara
Chivas Guadalajara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
MAZ
Mazatlán
2 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
30%
28%
42%
79 68 11 0
14 Feb. 2024
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
2 - 1
Forge
FOR
57%
23%
20%
79 72 7 0
11 Feb. 2024
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
2 - 1
FC Juárez
JUA
70%
19%
10%
79 64 15 0
08 Feb. 2024
FOR
Forge
1 - 3
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
42%
27%
32%
78 73 5 +1
05 Feb. 2024
AUR
Atl. San Luis
0 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
43%
27%
30%
78 73 5 0
X