Necaxa vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 2
NEC
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 0
VER
62%
24%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 2
NEC
40%
30%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
IRA
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
NEC
26%
30%
45%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 3
LEO
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
CAZ
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
DOR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 4
CAZ
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UAT
5 - 0
CAZ
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |