Necaxa vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
ATS
0 - 3
NEC
38%
25%
36%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
JUA
0 - 2
NEC
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
JUA
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 0
ZAC
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
ZAC
0 - 2
NEC
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 3
TIG
41%
28%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
56%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VER
2 - 1
CAZ
39%
27%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |