NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 0
BVO
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
TEL
5 - 2
NEC
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NEC
0 - 1
FCO
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 2
NEC
12%
19%
69%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 2
FOR
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 3
FOR
54%
23%
22%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
RKC
60%
21%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
UTR
1 - 1
FOR
64%
20%
15%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |