NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 1
NEC
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
29%
24%
46%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
NEC
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 0
ZWO
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
81%
13%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
UTR
2 - 2
RKC
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 0
UTR
15%
21%
63%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
UTR
3 - 1
CER
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
UTR
3 - 1
FEY
31%
24%
46%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GRO
0 - 0
UTR
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |